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Hizzle

Dolphins vs. Bills

NFL Week 3, 2025 season. Thursday, Sep 18, 2025, 7:15 PM CT. New Era Field. Referee: Alan Eck.

Dolphins
0-2 going in
Final
21-31
Bills
2-0 going in

The Sim's pick: Buffalo Bills

Sim right
18% Dolphins Bills 82%
Projected score
MIA 19, BUF 29
Sim line
BUF -10.5
Backtest
made after kickoff

Beat the Sim: your pick

Picks for this game locked at kickoff. See the standings.

The Sim's take

The Sim made the Bills a heavy favorite at home: 82% to beat the Dolphins, with a projected score of 29-19 (BUF by 10.5).

The Dolphins came in 0-2. The Bills came in 2-0.

Final: Dolphins 21, Bills 31. The Sim's pick was right.

Dolphins: last 5 games

  • L 27-33 vs Patriots Week 2
  • L 8-33 at Colts Week 1
  • L 20-32 at Jets Week 18, 2024
  • W 20-3 at Browns Week 17, 2024
  • W 29-17 vs 49ers Week 16, 2024

Bills: last 5 games

  • W 30-10 at Jets Week 2
  • W 41-40 vs Ravens Week 1
  • L 29-32 at Chiefs Conference Championships, 2024
  • W 27-25 vs Ravens Divisional Round, 2024
  • W 31-7 vs Broncos Wild Card Round, 2024

Last meetings: Dolphins vs. Bills

  • 2024, Week 9 MIA 27 at BUF 30 Bills won
  • 2024, Week 2 BUF 31 at MIA 10 Bills won
  • 2023, Week 18 BUF 21 at MIA 14 Bills won
  • 2023, Week 4 MIA 20 at BUF 48 Bills won
  • 2022, Wild Card Round MIA 31 at BUF 34 Bills won

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Schedule and scores: nflverse. Picks: the Sim, Hizzle's own model. Power rankings: Buck Kincaid. Times are Central. Not affiliated with the NFL.