Patriots vs. Bills
NFL Week 5, 2025 season. Sunday, Oct 5, 2025, 7:20 PM CT. New Era Field. Referee: Shawn Hochuli.
The Sim's pick: Buffalo Bills
Sim wrong
15% Patriots
Bills 85%
- Projected score
- NE 18, BUF 30
- Sim line
- BUF -12
- Backtest
- made after kickoff
Beat the Sim: your pick
Picks for this game locked at kickoff. See the standings.
The Sim's take
The Sim made the Bills a heavy favorite at home: 85% to beat the Patriots, with a projected score of 30-18 (BUF by 12).
The Patriots came in 2-2. The Bills came in 4-0.
Final: Patriots 23, Bills 20. The Sim's pick was wrong, an upset by its numbers.
Patriots: last 5 games
Bills: last 5 games
Last meetings: Patriots vs. Bills
- 2024, Week 18 BUF 16 at NE 23 Patriots won
- 2024, Week 16 NE 21 at BUF 24 Bills won
- 2023, Week 17 NE 21 at BUF 27 Bills won
- 2023, Week 7 BUF 25 at NE 29 Patriots won
- 2022, Week 18 NE 23 at BUF 35 Bills won
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Schedule and scores: nflverse. Picks: the Sim, Hizzle's own model. Power rankings: Buck Kincaid. Times are Central. Not affiliated with the NFL.