Bills vs. Texans
NFL Week 1, 2026 season. Sunday, Sep 13, 2026, 12:00 PM CT. Reliant Stadium. Referee: Alex Moore.
The Sim's pick: Houston Texans
Sim wrong- Projected score
- BUF 22, HOU 24
- Sim line
- HOU -1.5
- Backtest
- made after kickoff
Beat the Sim: your pick
Picks for this game locked at kickoff. See the standings.
Bills vs. Texans box score
Official stats. Updated .
Buffalo Bills
| Passing | C/Att | Yds | Avg | TD | Int |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 20/29 | 334 | 11.5 | 2 | 0 |
| Rushing | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | |
| James Cook | 13 | 57 | 4.4 | 0 | |
| Josh Allen | 6 | 23 | 3.8 | 2 | |
| Frank Gore Jr. | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | |
| Ray Davis | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | |
| Receiving | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | |
| Dalton Kincaid | 5 | 6 | 130 | 0 | |
| DJ Moore | 5 | 8 | 100 | 1 | |
| Khalil Shakir | 4 | 6 | 50 | 0 | |
| Josh Palmer | 1 | 2 | 34 | 1 | |
| James Cook | 3 | 4 | 12 | 0 | |
| Dawson Knox | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | |
| Keon Coleman | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kicking | FG | 50+ | XP | Pts | |
| Tyler Bass | 3/3 | 0 | 3/3 | 12 |
Houston Texans
| Passing | C/Att | Yds | Avg | TD | Int |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | 26/38 | 274 | 7.2 | 2 | 0 |
| Rushing | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | |
| David Montgomery | 20 | 60 | 3.0 | 2 | |
| Woody Marks | 9 | 42 | 4.7 | 0 | |
| C.J. Stroud | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | |
| Nico Collins | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | |
| Receiving | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | |
| Nico Collins | 7 | 10 | 75 | 1 | |
| Jaylin Noel | 2 | 2 | 53 | 0 | |
| Dalton Schultz | 4 | 8 | 35 | 0 | |
| Xavier Hutchinson | 3 | 6 | 32 | 0 | |
| Kayshon Boutte | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 | |
| David Montgomery | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 | |
| Marlin Klein | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | |
| Foster Moreau | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | |
| Jared Wayne | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | |
| Cade Stover | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| Woody Marks | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| Kicking | FG | 50+ | XP | Pts | |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | 1/1 | 1 | 4/4 | 7 |
Players are the ones Hizzle prices for Cap Space: quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, tight ends, and kickers.
The Sim's take
The Sim made the Texans a slight favorite at home: 56% to beat the Bills, with a projected score of 24-22 (HOU by 1.5).
Final: Bills 36, Texans 31. The Sim's pick was wrong.
Bills: last 5 games
Texans: last 5 games
Last meetings: Bills vs. Texans
- 2025, Week 12 BUF 19 at HOU 23 Texans won
- 2024, Week 5 BUF 20 at HOU 23 Texans won
- 2021, Week 4 HOU 0 at BUF 40 Bills won
- 2019, Wild Card Round BUF 19 at HOU 22 (OT) Texans won
- 2018, Week 6 BUF 13 at HOU 20 Texans won
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Schedule and scores: nflverse. Picks: the Sim, Hizzle's own model. Power rankings: Buck Kincaid. Times are Central. Not affiliated with the NFL.