Commanders vs. Falcons
NFL Week 4, 2025 season. Sunday, Sep 28, 2025, 12:00 PM CT. Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Referee: Scott Novak.
The Sim's pick: Washington Commanders
Sim wrong
63% Commanders
Falcons 37%
- Projected score
- WAS 25, ATL 22
- Sim line
- WAS -3.5
- Backtest
- made after kickoff
Beat the Sim: your pick
Picks for this game locked at kickoff. See the standings.
The Sim's take
The Sim made the Commanders a slight favorite on the road: 63% to beat the Falcons, with a projected score of 25-22 (WAS by 3.5).
The Commanders came in 2-1. The Falcons came in 1-2.
Final: Commanders 27, Falcons 34. The Sim's pick was wrong.
Commanders: last 5 games
Falcons: last 5 games
- L 0-30 at Panthers Week 3
- W 22-6 at Vikings Week 2
- L 20-23 vs Buccaneers Week 1
- L 38-44 vs Panthers Week 18, 2024
- L 24-30 at Commanders Week 17, 2024
Last meetings: Commanders vs. Falcons
- 2024, Week 17 ATL 24 at WAS 30 (OT) Commanders won
- 2023, Week 6 WAS 24 at ATL 16 Commanders won
- 2022, Week 12 ATL 13 at WAS 19 Commanders won
- 2021, Week 4 WAS 34 at ATL 30 Commanders won
- 2018, Week 9 ATL 38 at WAS 14 Falcons won
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More Week 4 games
All Week 4 picks- Seahawks vs. Cardinals recap
- Vikings vs. Steelers recap
- Saints vs. Bills recap
- Browns vs. Lions recap
- Titans vs. Texans recap
- Panthers vs. Patriots recap
- Chargers vs. Giants recap
- Eagles vs. Buccaneers recap
- Colts vs. Rams recap
- Jaguars vs. 49ers recap
- Ravens vs. Chiefs recap
- Bears vs. Raiders recap
- Packers vs. Cowboys recap
- Jets vs. Dolphins recap
- Bengals vs. Broncos recap
Schedule and scores: nflverse. Picks: the Sim, Hizzle's own model. Power rankings: Buck Kincaid. Times are Central. Not affiliated with the NFL.